5th Debate COVID-19, Forecast and Prediction, September 18 th - 19th, 2020 # Lecturer Name Lecture Title 1 Giovanni Gallo, INAPP, Italy Assessing policies related to Covid-19 in hardly reliable data. 2 Michelangelo Puliga, LinkaLab Italy Covid-19 early warning signals in social media? 3 Yurii Dimaschko, Fachhochschule Lübeck Superspreading as a Regular Factor of the COVID-19 Pandemic: II. Quarantine Measures and the Second Wave. 4 Bosiljka Tadic, Jozef Stefan Institute Agent-based modeling of latent infection transmissions. 5 Roberto Zavatta, Economisti Associati Territorial patterns in COVID-19 mortality 6 Kai Nagel, Technische Universität Berlin Using mobile phone data for epidemiological simulations of lockdowns: government interventions, behavioral changes, and resulting changes of reinfections. 7 Jordi Faraudo, Spanish National Research Council Molecular Dynamics Simulations Of The Interaction Between Sars-Cov-2 And Different Materials. 8 Giuseppe De Natale, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica The evolution of Covid-19 in Italy through statistical analysis: from lethality estimates to seasonal effects. 9 Elisa Alòs, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona A fractional model for the COVID-19 pandemic: Application to Italian data. 10 Stanislav Harizanov, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences Mathematical Modeling of COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Bulgaria by time-dependent inverse SEIR model. 11 Joeri Schasfoort, University of Cape Town SABCoM: A Spatial Agent-Based Covid-19 Model. 12 Giovani L. Vasconcelos, University of Parana Modelling the primary and secondary waves of COVID-19 with mathematical growth models